Vancouver Real Estate Update: Rising Housing Supply & Mortgage Pressures

by Kyle Mark PREC*

 

๐Ÿšจ Vancouver Real Estate Update: Rising Housing Supply & Mortgage Pressures

The Vancouver real estate market is shifting, and February’s data confirms it. We’re seeing a surge in housing inventory, rising unemployment, and a wave of upcoming mortgage renewals that could reshape the market in 2025 and 2026. Whether you’re buying, selling, or just keeping an eye on trends, let’s break it all down.


๐Ÿ“‰ What’s Happening in the Market?

๐Ÿ”Ž Unemployment is Climbing – A Warning Sign?

Canada’s long-term unemployment rate is on the rise, and Vancouver is feeling the impact.

  • Unemployment for 52+ weeks has doubled in the past year—something rarely seen outside of recessions.
  • The number of workers unemployed for 27+ weeks is climbing, showing no signs of slowing down.
  • Vancouver’s unemployment rate is now 6.5%, the highest it’s been (outside of COVID years) in over a decade.

๐Ÿ’ก Why This Matters: A weaker job market affects buyer confidence, mortgage approvals, and overall market stability.


๐Ÿ’ฐ Mortgage Renewals: The Next Big Market Shift?

We’re entering the biggest wave of mortgage renewals in decades, with the majority set to hit in 2025-2026.

  • Homeowners who locked in ultra-low rates in 2020-2021 are facing massive payment jumps when they renew.
  • More properties could hit the market as homeowners struggle with affordability.
  • This could help stabilize home prices by adding more inventory, but also increase forced sales.

๐Ÿก For Buyers: If more listings hit the market, it could mean more negotiating power for you.

๐Ÿ“‰ For Sellers: More competition means pricing strategically is key—don't overestimate buyer demand.


๐Ÿ“Š Housing Inventory is Rising – A Shift to a Buyer’s Market?

Vancouver’s housing supply is growing at the fastest pace in over a decade:

  • New listings surged 30% in January, marking the biggest increase since 2012.
  • Condo listings are at a 10-year high, providing more options for buyers.
  • With inventory climbing and sales slowing, the market is shifting toward a more buyer-friendly landscape.

๐Ÿ’ก Key Takeaway: More homes on the market means more choices for buyers. Sellers need to adjust expectations as competition increases.


๐Ÿ”‘ What This Means for You

โœ… Thinking of Buying?

  • More inventory means less competition, especially in the condo market.
  • Watch mortgage rates—cuts are expected in 2025, which could fuel demand again.

โœ… Thinking of Selling?

  • Price strategically—overpricing will cost you time and money.
  • Expect longer days on market as buyers gain leverage.

โœ… Investors & Homeowners:

  • Plan ahead for mortgage renewals. If your rate is expiring in 2025-2026, now is the time to strategize.
  • Cash flow is king. Ensure your property is positioned to handle shifting market dynamics.

๐Ÿ“… Next Steps

Need expert advice on how to navigate this market? Whether you're buying, selling, or investing, let's build a strategy that works for you.

๐Ÿ“ž Book a discovery call: Schedule Here

๐Ÿก Search Vancouver listings: View Listings

๐Ÿ“Š Check your BC Assessment: Assessment Tool

Stay informed and stay ahead—2025 is shaping up to be a major turning point for Vancouver real estate. Let’s make sure you’re prepared!

GET MORE INFORMATION

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Kyle Mark PREC*

Vancouver Real Estate Advisor

+1(604) 288-7245

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