We might be touching bottom—but it’s not time to sit back
Let’s strip the hype. The video “Vancouver Real Estate: Have We FINALLY Hit The BOTTOM?” (that you sent me) is a statement—but one that demands pushback, nuance, data, and strategy. Bottoms aren’t obvious until after they happen. But if you play it smart, you can position yourself on the winning side of the next move.
Here’s what matters—and what you should do.
✅ What the Data Actually Says
- Listings are piling up. Inventory is at decade highs in many Vancouver submarkets.
- Sales volumes are weak. We’re seeing sustained softness, not a flash pause.
- Prices are drifting—or in some pockets, slipping.
- Meanwhile, mortgage rate pressures and upcoming renewals are a looming wildcard.
So yeah: the conditions for “bottoming” are aligning. But alignment ≠ confirmation.
✂️ Why It’s Dangerous to Assume “Bottom”
- It’s a trap to marketers and click‑baiters: “Bottom” sells. Reality’s messier.
- Some submarkets will bounce first (condos, infill, strata), others lag (detached, outer edges).
- If you lean too hard on “now’s the time,” you risk buying too early in neighborhoods that haven’t hit the floor yet.
Don't let the media dictate your move. Let the data + strategy do that.
🧠 What I See as Kyle in Vancouver—Edge You Can Use
- Watch new listings + expired listings combo
If listings are rising and expired listings (homes that failed to sell) are spiking, that’s a stronger signal of stress. You want that tipping zone. - Map the outliers
Some buildings, pockets, and streets will start reversing first. Your job: spot those early. Be first to sniff out momentum before the general market pivots. - Factor in mortgage renewals
A chunk of homeowners locked into ultra‑low rates in 2020–21. Their mortgage renewals in 2025–26 could force some hand sales, boosting supply later. That hedges your timing risk.
Don’t ignore affordability swings
If rates drop, buyer power surges. If rates stay high, many buyers are frozen out. Your entry needs margin for rate volatility.
📢 Move With Intention (Don’t Just React)
- Buyers: target neighborhoods where leading indicators are turning (lower days‑on‑market, reduced price drops). Start your due diligence now.
- Sellers: you have limited leverage. Price decisively—or you’ll bleed commission and time.
Investors: this is your season—for those who hold through noise. You don’t need perfect entry. You need good enough + better insight than the average.
⏳ Why Act Now
- Because the next rate cut might be the precipice of a rebound.
- Because some of the best deals will vanish quietly—before the “bottom” gets the media crown.
Because timing slightly early with conviction beats waiting for perfect confirmation.
📞 Book your 30-minute strategy call now — Let me map where you should be shifting now. (I’ll tell you the exact pockets I’m watching, and what to watch for.)
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